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Oracle Force Majeure Puts Project Jupiter on Notice

A New Mexico Stargate campus notice knocked ORCL about 3%, while Oracle says the 2028 plan is intact and a $664 billion backlog still needs capacity online.

Oracle Force Majeure Puts Project Jupiter on Notice

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Oracle stock fell more than 3% on Thursday after a report that the company sent a force majeure notice tied to Project Jupiter, its New Mexico data center campus. Bloomberg first reported the notice. CNBC later confirmed Oracle sent it to a developer unit of Blue Owl Capital.

Force majeure is contract language for events outside a party's control. In this case, the report says Oracle is trying to delay payments if Jupiter fails to come online in 2028, not walk away as tenant. That distinction matters. Demand for AI cloud capacity is not the dispute. Delivery timing is.

What Oracle and Blue Owl said

Oracle told CNBC that Project Jupiter "remains on our planned schedule" and that the company is "fully committed to New Mexico." Blue Owl said the notice "does not change the financial commitments to this multi-year project." The Albuquerque Journal reported a similar line from Oracle vice president Michael Egbert: force majeure notices are common on projects of this scale and do not, by themselves, prove a delay.

Markets still priced risk. Seeking Alpha reported Oracle closed Thursday down about 3.4%. Bloomberg Law reported an intraday drop as steep as about 6.4% at one point, with Blue Owl also lower. Project-linked debt has been trading at stressed levels, below 90 cents on the dollar per reporting tied to the same story.

Why Jupiter sits inside the AI trade

Project Jupiter is part of the broader Stargate AI infrastructure push. The New Mexico site has faced regulatory hurdles, local opposition ahead of midterms, environmental pushback, and delays around a natural gas pipeline meant to fuel the campus, CNBC reported. Bloom Energy, which is slated to power more than 2.4 gigawatts of fuel-cell capacity at the facility, also fell about 3% on the news and said it remains committed to the planned timeline.

On Oracle's Sept. 10 earnings call, co-CEO Clay Magouyrk told analysts Jupiter would not change previously stated fiscal 2027 revenue or earnings guidance. That statement is now the bar investors will test against every permitting or pipeline update.

The backlog still needs steel and power

The force majeure flash hits a stock that already trades on conversion of contracts into online capacity. In fiscal first-quarter results released Sept. 10, Oracle reported total revenue of $19.3 billion, up 30%, and cloud infrastructure revenue of $7.4 billion, up 121%. Remaining performance obligations, or RPO, rose to $664 billion, up $209 billion year over year and $26 billion sequentially after more than $30 billion in additional AI cloud bookings.

Management said it expects about half of that RPO to convert to revenue over the next 36 months, with roughly 13% (about $86 billion) recognized in the next 12 months. Since the end of the prior quarter, Oracle also said it delivered more than 300,000 GPUs and about 850 megawatts of incremental data center capacity. Those are conversion numbers. They only stick if campuses like Jupiter stay on the calendar investors already priced.

What to watch next

Three checks matter more than one session's percentage move. First, does Oracle keep repeating that Jupiter is on schedule when local pipeline and permitting news hits. Second, do lenders and Blue Owl treat the notice as routine paperwork or as a real shift in payment timing. Third, do cloud infrastructure growth prints stay near triple digits while RPO converts, or does delivery friction show up in the next two quarters.

A force majeure notice is not a project cancellation. It is a reminder that AI backlog is only an asset when power, fiber, and buildings come online on time. Oracle's revenue story still runs through that physical path.

This article is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice. Past performance and forward-looking company statements are not guarantees of future results. Always do your own research.

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