Fed policy, interest rates, inflation, jobs, GDP, and the economic calendar that drives the tape. Macro analysis built for self-directed US investors.
Brent crude touched $126.41 a barrel overnight, its highest mark in four years. The spike came after reports that President Trump is reviewing military options against Iran and plans to extend the naval blockade. Iran's supreme leader said Tehran will keep control of the Strait of Hormuz. The peace path looks all but shut.
Apr 30, 2026Alphabet surged 6% after hours. Meta fell 7%. Same spending thesis, same night, two very different verdicts from Wall Street.
Apr 30, 2026Oil ripped higher today after President Trump told his team to prepare for an extended blockade of Iran. Brent crude jumped more than 6% to $118.33 a barrel by mid-day, the highest level since June 2022. WTI, the US benchmark, broke above $104. The peace track is dead for now, and the market is pricing it in.
Apr 29, 2026GM crushed a $2.62 consensus by 41%. Now Powell chairs his last FOMC and four Mag 7 names report after the close.
Apr 29, 2026Day 60 of the war brought a shock from inside the oil cartel itself. The United Arab Emirates said it will withdraw from OPEC on May 1. Iran is sending a revised peace proposal to mediators. The Strait of Hormuz is still nearly empty. Here is what moved today and why it matters for your money.
Apr 28, 2026Day 59 of the war and the talks are stalling. Iran's foreign minister sat down with Putin today. The US said no to Iran's latest offer on the Strait of Hormuz. Oil ticked higher. Here is what moved and what it means for your portfolio.
Apr 27, 2026The Iran war ceasefire is holding, but oil markets still cannot settle. New peace talks start tomorrow in Pakistan. Here is what moved today and what it means for your portfolio.
Apr 24, 2026China's DeepSeek released its V4 preview today. It claims to do more with less, which is the same pitch that shook US chip stocks last year. Here is what is new and why it matters for your portfolio.
Apr 24, 2026Intel surged 20% after hours. Texas Instruments beat by 24%. Two semiconductor blowouts while Brent crossed $105.
Apr 24, 2026The two-week US-Iran truce expires tonight. Brent crude traded near $100 Tuesday, up 3% on the day. Peace talks in Islamabad are on the brink of collapse.
Apr 23, 2026Two large AI deals landed Monday. Amazon said it will put up to $25 billion into Anthropic. Nvidia agreed to take Groq's assets for about $20 billion and hire its CEO.
Apr 22, 2026Tesla missed the Street. Boeing bleeds before the bell. The ceasefire just lost its deadline.
Apr 22, 2026The US seized an Iran-flagged cargo ship in the Gulf of Oman on Sunday. Oil jumped back near $88 a barrel. The two-week ceasefire expires tomorrow. Here is what…
Apr 21, 2026John Ternus takes over September 1. UnitedHealth, GE Aerospace, and RTX all report before the bell. The ceasefire expires tomorrow.
Apr 21, 2026Iran shut the Strait again. The US seized a cargo ship. The ceasefire expires Wednesday and no one is at the table.
Apr 20, 2026The Dow’s best day since April 2025 lasted exactly one session. Iran is accusing the US of breaching the ceasefire, oil is bouncing back, and CPI lands tomorrow.
Apr 9, 2026Futures are surging on a conditional ceasefire. Delta reports before the bell, FOMC minutes drop this afternoon, and Friday’s CPI lands in a market that just decided the war is over.
Apr 8, 2026Three days of unpriced news hit the tape this morning. A new Tuesday deadline, FOMC minutes Wednesday, and Delta earnings in a $112 oil world.
Apr 6, 2026March payrolls land at 8:30 AM into a closed market. Monday is April 6. The timing matters more than the number.
Apr 3, 2026ISM input costs just hit their highest level since 2022. Oil is back above $105. And yesterday's rally is already gone.
Apr 2, 2026Oil snapped back above $100. Gold just posted its 10th straight loss. And Netanyahu says the strikes continue.
Mar 24, 2026Kuwait's largest refinery is burning for the second straight day. And it's triple witching.
Mar 20, 2026The PPI print just landed hot. Powell speaks in hours.
Mar 18, 2026Oil hub struck over the weekend. Nvidia keynote at noon ET. Fed on Wednesday.
Mar 16, 2026The Strait is heating up and the market is stuck in the middle.
Mar 11, 2026Futures dip, crude pulls back, and CPI is 24 hours away.
Mar 10, 2026