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Merchant Services Drove Shopify's 34% Revenue Growth

SHOP remained up about 17% in morning trading after forecasting low-30s revenue growth for the third quarter.

Merchant Services Drove Shopify's 34% Revenue Growth

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The headline profit was not the operating story

Shopify reported GAAP net income of $1.502 billion for the second quarter of 2026, a number that on its own looks like a breakout profit quarter. Most of it was not from running the business.

Of that $1.502 billion, $1.063 billion came from after-tax gains on equity investments Shopify holds, not from selling software, processing payments, or lending to merchants. Strip that out and net income was $439 million.

That gap matters for anyone using the profit line to judge how the core business performed.

The cleaner measures tell a steadier story. Operating income, which reflects what Shopify earned from actual operations before investment swings, rose 68% to $488 million. Free cash flow, the cash left over after running and investing in the business, hit $654 million, up from $422 million a year earlier, pushing the free-cash-flow margin to 18% from 16%.

Those three figures, $488 million in operating income, $439 million in net income excluding investment effects, and $654 million in free cash flow, are the numbers that describe how Shopify's business actually performed this quarter. The $1.063 billion investment gain reflects the value of holdings that can rise or fall with the market, not merchant spending or subscription growth.

Investors reading the headline profit as evidence of a stronger core business would be overstating the case. The operating measures still show real improvement, just a smaller and more repeatable one than the GAAP total suggests.

Payments and merchant tools did the heavy lifting

The operating improvement traces back to where the revenue actually came from. Merchant-solutions revenue, the part of Shopify's business tied to payments, lending, and other services sold alongside its storefronts, rose 37% to $2.781 billion. Subscription revenue, the recurring fees merchants pay to use the platform itself, grew 22% to $802 million.

That gap is the real story behind the 34% revenue growth. Shopify is not just signing up more stores and collecting a flat fee.

It is earning more each time a merchant makes a sale. Gross merchandise volume, the total value of goods sold through Shopify's platform, reached $115.567 billion, up 32% from the prior year. As GMV climbs, so does the pool of transactions Shopify can attach payments, financing, and other paid services to.

Monthly recurring revenue, the subscription income Shopify counts as a stable base, rose to $221 million at the end of June from $185 million a year earlier. That growth is real, but it moved far slower than merchant-solutions revenue.

The business is shifting weight toward the side that scales with commerce activity rather than the side that scales with store count. That shift explains why operating income grew faster than revenue this quarter: payments and merchant services carry different economics than a flat software subscription, and Shopify is now leaning on them more than ever.

It also raises the next question. Growing revenue by processing more transactions and extending more credit to merchants is not the same as growing it by selling more subscriptions, and the cost side of that shift is where the next section turns.

More lending raises the cost of the growth

Extending credit to merchants is not free, and the cost is climbing. Shopify's loans and merchant cash advances, net, reached $2.184 billion at the end of June, up from $1.784 billion at the end of December. Transaction and loan-loss expense rose to $141 million from $80 million a year earlier, and the provision Shopify sets aside for expected loan losses more than doubled, to $94 million from $44 million.

Those numbers grew faster than merchant-solutions revenue.

That is the tension sitting under the morning rally. Shopify's payments and lending push is what pulled revenue growth above subscription growth, but lending to merchants who may not repay is a cost that scales with the loan book, not with how well the loans perform. A rising provision does not mean defaults are already a problem. It means Shopify is setting aside more against the possibility, which is a normal response to a bigger loan book, but one that eats into the profitability of the same segment driving the growth story.

Shares stayed up about 17% in morning trading after Shopify forecast low-30s percentage revenue growth for the third quarter, a guide that would extend the current pace. That outlook is the next visible test of demand.

The less visible test is whether credit costs stop outrunning the segment they support. If transaction and loan-loss expense keeps climbing faster than merchant-solutions revenue, the higher growth rate investors are paying for this morning comes with a lower-margin engine underneath it than the headline suggests. Watch the provision line next quarter as closely as the revenue guide.

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