La-Z-Boy spent Tuesday as one of the worst stocks in the consumer space, then turned into one of the best the moment the closing bell rang.
La-Z-Boy closed down roughly 7% in the regular session, a brutal day driven by data that had nothing to do with the company itself. New-home construction told the story. Housing starts sank to a six-year low in May, and the selling spread to anything tied to the home. We covered the builder reaction earlier today. Furniture sits at the end of that same chain, so traders sold first and asked questions later.
Then the questions got answered. After the close, La-Z-Boy reported fiscal fourth-quarter adjusted earnings of $1.26 a share against the $0.82 analysts expected. That is a beat of more than 50%. On a GAAP basis, earnings came in at $0.81 a share versus $0.36 a year ago. The stock rose more than 10% in after-hours trading as the numbers crossed the wire.
The strength was in the part of the business the company controls
Total sales were roughly flat at $570 million, but the mix mattered. Written sales at company-owned La-Z-Boy stores grew 11%, helped by acquired and newly opened locations, while the Joybird online business dragged on delivered volume. Adjusted operating margin expanded to 9.9% from 9.4% a year ago. For a furniture maker selling into a soft housing market, holding the top line flat while widening margins is the kind of result that separates a well-run retailer from a cyclical victim.
It was not entirely clean. Adjusted earnings included a $0.16 benefit from favorable one-time tax items. Strip that out and the company still earned about $1.10 a share, comfortably ahead of the estimate. The quarter also closed out a year in which management divested its casegoods unit and finished a string of strategic moves, so the comparisons carry some moving parts.
Why the gap between the tape and the results matters
The market treated La-Z-Boy as a pure bet on new houses. The company is something different. A large slice of revenue now comes through its own retail stores, which gives it more control over pricing and promotion than a wholesaler that lives and dies by housing turnover. That distinction is exactly what the 7% selloff ignored and the after-hours move repriced.
The valuation reflects the doubt that built up before the print. La-Z-Boy carries a market value near $1.4 billion, small enough that a single earnings surprise can move the stock double digits in a session. It also pays a quarterly dividend of about 24 cents a share, a reminder that this is a cash-generating business and not a turnaround story. The company reported sales growth across all segments for the full year and strong operating cash flow.
What to listen for on the call
Management hosts its earnings call Wednesday morning, hours before the Federal Reserve announces its rate decision. Two things are worth tracking. The first is any guidance for the new fiscal year, since the housing data suggests demand stays soft into the back half. The second is the plan for Joybird, the direct-to-consumer arm that has been the weak link while the physical stores carry the company.
Lower rates would help. Cheaper mortgages eventually pull buyers back into homes, and furniture follows. With the Fed deciding tomorrow and housing already at a six-year low, La-Z-Boy just showed it can grow its store base and protect margins without that tailwind. If it arrives, the setup looks better, not worse.